Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:05:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f56…348a
sports · 408 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$28,267 -67%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28,148 · open −$86
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,776
Realized−$28,148
Unrealized−$86
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses170 / 525
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$445
Open positions93
Markets (closed)695 / 408
History coverage6d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day487.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 93 History 695 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30,901
7 days−$28,148
14 days−$28,148
30 days−$28,148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June? No 88¢ 81¢ $1,725 $1,588 −$137 (-8%)
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 31¢ 36¢ $620 $730 +$110 (+18%)
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $653 $658 +$5 (+1%)
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting? No 85¢ 90¢ $272 $289 +$17 (+6%)
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 94¢ 96¢ $280 $283 +$4 (+1%)
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting? Yes 52¢ 64¢ $204 $252 +$48 (+23%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage RUSTEC 58¢ 100¢ $129 $225 +$95 (+74%)
Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? No 84¢ 86¢ $202 $208 +$6 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 58¢ 100¢ $102 $176 +$74 (+73%)
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 80¢ 81¢ $165 $169 +$4 (+2%)
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 75¢ 78¢ $160 $166 +$6 (+4%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 35¢ 100¢ $58 $166 +$107 (+184%)
Will Tunisia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 93¢ 98¢ $130 $137 +$7 (+5%)
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 57¢ 58¢ $128 $132 +$3 (+3%)
Will Paraguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 87¢ 94¢ $118 $127 +$9 (+8%)
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 53¢ 84¢ $78 $123 +$45 (+58%)
Will the South African Reserve Bank cut by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting? No 94¢ 96¢ $110 $113 +$3 (+3%)
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 62¢ 64¢ $102 $105 +$4 (+3%)
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 60¢ 61¢ $101 $103 +$2 (+2%)
Will South Korea reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 85¢ $84 $85 +$1 (+1%)
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 48¢ 47¢ $86 $84 −$2 (-2%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? No 34¢ 34¢ $82 $83 +$1 (+1%)
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 74¢ 60¢ $100 $81 −$18 (-18%)
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 20¢ 22¢ $72 $77 +$5 (+8%)
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-30? Yes 2¢ 30¢ $5 $76 +$71 (+1425%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 13 $147 −$146 -100%
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-03? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw? Jun 13 $30 −$14 -45%
Will CD Limache win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $8 +$10 +123%
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw? Jun 13 $510 −$516 -101%
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 +$49 +1763%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 13 $3 +$18 +562%
Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw? Jun 13 $0 +$5 +3719%
Will CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will FC Universitario vs. Club Aurora end in a draw? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw? Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-05-12? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-21? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Jun 13 $208 +$135 +65%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Will SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF América end in a draw? Jun 13 $109 −$106 -98%
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 13 $23 −$23 -101%
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02? Jun 13 $12 +$11 +93%
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 +$7 +317%
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw? Jun 13 $12 −$3 -24%
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? Jun 13 $59 −$66 -111%
Will Real Valladolid CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Racing Louisville FC vs. Denver Summit FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-29? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-03? Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Exeter City FC win on 2026-05-02? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw? Jun 13 $6 −$5 -90%
Will AD Cali win on 2026-05-01? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 13 $269 −$285 -106%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? Jun 13 $22 −$27 -122%
Will Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-25? Jun 13 $106 −$106 -101%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Club Blooming vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% +$502
other 20% +$3,692
culture 1% −$55
world 0% +$77
politics 0% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 42¢ $19 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 21¢ $7 2m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 71¢ $36 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 75¢ $38 20m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $35 22m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 42¢ $1 55m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 76¢ $26 59m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 76¢ $38 59m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 76¢ $58 59m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $20 59m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 20¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 38¢ $19 1h
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY No 14¢ $6 1h
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. BUY Yes 31¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 56¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 65¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 67¢ $34 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 41¢ $3 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $22 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 41¢ $17 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 47¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 29¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 57¢ $28 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 61¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 66¢ $29 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 70¢ $35 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 30¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 52¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 695 +9.8% -0.6% 24% 21% -46.3%
≤30d 695 +9.8% -0.6% 24% 21% -46.3%
≤90d 695 +9.8% -0.6% 24% 21% -46.3%
all 695 +9.8% -0.6% 24% 21% -46.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover487.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.6% 21% -46.3%
10% ← realistic here -10.1% 18% -51.5%
15% -18.8% 15% -56.2%
20% -26.8% 12% -60.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,776.40 · official $7,852.64 (match) · 3500 history records