Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:34:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f48…7e91
crypto · 125 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$50 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses117 / 2
Open positions6
Markets (closed)119 / 125
History coverage602d
Avg bet$192
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 6 History 119 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? No 96¢ 98¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? No 100¢ 99¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 94¢ 93¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 98¢ 97¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 8? Jun 12 $107 $0 +0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Jun 06 $6 +$1 +15%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May? May 31 $3 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May? May 31 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18? May 31 $319 $0 +0%
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30? May 04 $3 $0 +0%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April? May 04 $5 $0 +6%
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April? May 04 $6 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026? May 04 $6 $0 +0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m May 04 $7 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 30? May 04 $306 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 21? Apr 29 $303 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15? Apr 20 $300 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 12? Apr 15 $325 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 8? Apr 10 $322 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 6? Apr 07 $335 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31? Apr 02 $2 $0 +1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in March? Apr 02 $2 $0 +2%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31? Apr 02 $2 $0 +6%
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math on March 31? Apr 02 $4 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on March 30? Mar 31 $314 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27? Mar 29 $327 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25? Mar 26 $327 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on March 23? Mar 24 $316 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 21? Mar 22 $316 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on March 18? Mar 20 $323 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16? Mar 18 $332 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 14? Mar 14 $329 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on March 12? Mar 13 $335 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3? Mar 11 $324 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 1? Mar 02 $334 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 26? Feb 27 $327 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 24? Feb 25 $323 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 20? Feb 21 $326 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 18? Feb 19 $329 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 1 Feb 17 $319 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 1 Feb 16 $318 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 14? Feb 15 $328 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 12? Feb 13 $325 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on February 10? Feb 11 $328 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on February 8? Feb 09 $327 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 6? Feb 06 $327 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on February 3? Feb 05 $330 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January? Feb 01 $2 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 31? Feb 01 $324 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 30? Jan 31 $314 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 28? Jan 29 $320 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 26? Jan 27 $320 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on January 23? Jan 24 $313 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 20? Jan 21 $319 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% +$17
politics 24% +$7
economics 0% +$15
other 0% +$5
tech 0% −$1
world 0% +$4
culture 0% +$3
finance 0% $0
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $4 1h
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 98¢ $2 1h
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY Yes 94¢ $4 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? BUY No 100¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $107 6d
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? BUY No 87¢ $6 14d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May? BUY No 100¢ $7 14d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18? BUY No 100¢ $319 25d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May? BUY No 100¢ $3 37d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 30? BUY No 100¢ $306 44d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 21? BUY No 100¢ $303 52d
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30? BUY No 100¢ $3 52d
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April? BUY No 100¢ $6 52d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15? BUY No 100¢ $300 58d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m BUY No 99¢ $7 60d
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 60d
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026? BUY No 100¢ $6 60d
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? BUY No 96¢ $6 60d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $325 62d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 8? BUY No 100¢ $322 66d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 6? BUY No 100¢ $335 69d
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on March 30? BUY No 100¢ $314 75d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27? BUY Yes 100¢ $327 78d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25? BUY Yes 100¢ $327 80d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on March 23? BUY No 100¢ $316 82d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 21? BUY Yes 100¢ $316 84d
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math on March 31? BUY No 98¢ $4 85d
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in March? BUY No 98¢ $2 85d
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31? BUY Yes 99¢ $2 85d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +7.8% -2.5% 100% 50% -8.7%
≤30d 5 +3.2% -6.7% 100% 20% -9.2%
≤90d 27 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 4% -9.4%
all 119 +4.2% -5.7% 98% 19% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.7% 19% -9.3%
10% -14.7% 8% -18.0%
15% -23.0% 5% -25.9%
20% -30.5% 2% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.75 · official $25.75 (match) · 261 history records