Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:22:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f48…ba84
sports · 1331 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$1,124 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,120 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,258
Realized+$1,120
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1304 / 13
Est. fees paid−$58
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1317 / 1331
History coverage19d
Avg bet$119
Trades / day115.0
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 14 History 1317 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$404
7 days+$866
14 days+$995
30 days+$1,120
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Minkens finest - Map 2 Winner fnatic 100¢ 100¢ $300 $300 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Saab (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Alliance 100¢ 100¢ $300 $300 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Saab - Map 2 Winner Alliance 100¢ 100¢ $300 $300 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Minkens finest (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs fnatic 100¢ 100¢ $300 $300 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Minkens finest - Map 1 Winner fnatic 100¢ 100¢ $300 $300 +$0 (+0%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Help Us LFO vs Can You Be My Enemy (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage Help Us LFO 99¢ 98¢ $292 $290 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 1 Winner Washed 97¢ 100¢ $145 $150 +$5 (+3%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $101 $101 +$0 (+0%)
Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5) Ursa 100¢ 100¢ $98 $98 +$0 (+0%)
Dota 2: NA, we'd win vs the bug - Game 2 Winner the bug 100¢ 99¢ $51 $51 −$0 (-0%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 2 Winner Washed 100¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Can You Be My Enemy vs SCARZ (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage SCARZ 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $500 $0 +0%
Rainbow Six Siege: FearX vs RRX (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $243 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $25 +$13 +50%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $312 −$12 -4%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $656 −$43 -6%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $575 +$96 +17%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $72 +$1 +2%
Dota 2: cyberdingzhen vs 4 Anchors and Ilmeria - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South Jun 13 $101 $0 +0%
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ Jun 13 $278 +$22 +8%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $300 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED L Jun 12 $105 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $91 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $273 +$4 +2%
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North Americ Jun 12 $204 +$2 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $101 $0 +0%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - North America League Jun 12 $18 $0 +2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $157 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $18 +$7 +41%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $188 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $107 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $490 +$10 +2%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $94 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $222 +$49 +22%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $485 +$15 +3%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $500 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $500 $0 +0%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team Bald (BO1) - The International Europe Open Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $500 $0 +0%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $107 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 12 $500 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $500 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$1,179
other 1% −$55
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 5m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 2 Winner BUY Washed 100¢ $9 36m
Rainbow Six Siege: Can You Be My Enemy vs SCARZ (BO1) - Asia Pacific L BUY SCARZ 99¢ $5 49m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Minkens finest (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY fnatic 100¢ $300 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Minkens finest - Map 2 Winner BUY fnatic 100¢ $300 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $101 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 100¢ $348 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 100¢ $152 1h
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Saab (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Alliance 100¢ $300 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Saab - Map 2 Winner BUY Alliance 100¢ $300 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Minkens finest - Map 1 Winner BUY fnatic 100¢ $300 1h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 1 Winner BUY Washed 97¢ $145 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $38 4h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 100¢ $108 4h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner SELL Wanted Goons 100¢ $413 4h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner SELL F5 Esports 100¢ $499 4h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 73¢ $79 5h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 82¢ $11 6h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 78¢ $390 6h
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof BUY Festina Lente 99¢ $0 7h
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof BUY Festina Lente 99¢ $99 7h
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof BUY Festina Lente 99¢ $168 7h
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof BUY Festina Lente 99¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate - Map 2 Winner BUY Festina Lente 99¢ $25 7h
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof BUY Festina Lente 99¢ $29 7h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 99¢ $75 7h
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate - Map 2 Winner BUY Festina Lente 99¢ $99 7h
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate - Map 2 Winner BUY Festina Lente 99¢ $119 7h
Dota 2: cyberdingzhen vs 4 Anchors and Ilmeria - Game 1 Winner BUY 4 Anchors and Ilmeria 100¢ $6 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 329 +1.6% -8.0% 99% 3% -8.3%
≤30d 1317 +0.7% -8.9% 99% 1% -8.9%
≤90d 1317 +0.7% -8.9% 99% 1% -8.9%
all 1317 +0.7% -8.9% 99% 1% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 1% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 1% -17.6%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.6%
20% -32.9% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,258.24 · official $2,258.24 (match) · 3500 history records