Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f45…7d76
crypto · 490 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses318 / 171
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)489 / 490
History coverage28d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 489 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$35
14 days+$35
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 47¢ 57¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$11
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 251 +1.9% -7.8% 62% 62% -7.5%
≤30d 489 -0.9% -10.3% 65% 50% -9.8%
≤90d 489 -0.9% -10.3% 65% 50% -9.8%
all 489 -0.9% -10.3% 65% 50% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 50% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 48% -18.5%
15% -26.7% 39% -26.3%
20% -33.9% 30% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.75 · official $6.45 (match) · 1123 history records