Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:07:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f39…9f24
sports · 30 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$39 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses17 / 10
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)27 / 30
History coverage7d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 82¢ 80¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 62¢ 62¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 91¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $20 +$2 +12%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 09 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 09 $25 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $10 +$4 +36%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 +$1 +48%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 +$2 +79%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $25 +$3 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% −$4
crypto 37% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 62¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 51¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 82¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 48¢ $9 9h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 32¢ $4 9h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $11 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 79¢ $10 23h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 60¢ $2 23h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 90¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 91¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 91¢ $25 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $10 3d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 81¢ $20 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 63¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $21 4d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 100¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -13.4% -21.7% 63% 48% -22.3%
≤30d 27 -13.4% -21.7% 63% 48% -22.3%
≤90d 27 -13.4% -21.7% 63% 48% -22.3%
all 27 -13.4% -21.7% 63% 48% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.7% 48% -22.3%
10% -29.2% 33% -29.8%
15% -36.0% 26% -36.6%
20% -42.3% 19% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.76 · official $16.76 (match) · 62 history records