trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Pickens play for Buffalo Bills in 2026-27? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $1 | +$0 (+17%) |
| Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | Jun 12 | $648 | −$19 | -3% |
| Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | Jun 12 | $520 | −$11 | -2% |
| Will Nicolai Højgaard win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | Jun 12 | $245 | −$7 | -3% |
| Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | Jun 12 | $352 | −$11 | -3% |
| Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | Jun 12 | $326 | −$10 | -3% |
| Will Miami Marlins win the 2026 NL East title? | Jun 12 | $245 | −$7 | -3% |
| Will Solana Sierra be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Jun 11 | $46 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Jelena Ostapenko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Jun 11 | $2,509 | −$75 | -3% |
| Will Ashlyn Krueger be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Jun 11 | $1,377 | −$41 | -3% |
| Will Kyler Murray be traded? | Jun 11 | $484 | −$14 | -3% |
| Will George Pickens play for Cleveland Browns in 2026-27? | Jun 10 | $255 | −$8 | -3% |
| Will George Pickens play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27? | Jun 10 | $168 | −$5 | -3% |
| Will George Pickens play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27? | Jun 10 | $377 | −$11 | -3% |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Minnesota Vikings next? | Jun 10 | $38 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Dallas Cowboys next? | Jun 10 | $1,431 | −$43 | -3% |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Rams next? | Jun 10 | $41 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Baltimore Ravens next? | Jun 10 | $191 | −$6 | -3% |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Chicago Bears next? | Jun 09 | $3,502 | −$105 | -3% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 6% | 0% | -12.2% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 6% | 0% | -12.2% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 6% | 0% | -12.2% |
| all | 18 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 6% | 0% | -12.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -11.9% | 0% | -12.2% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 0% | -20.6% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -28.0% | 0% | -28.3% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 0% | -35.3% |