Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:43:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f2d…aa69
crypto · 431 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$160 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$160 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$160
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses196 / 235
Open positions0
Markets (closed)431 / 431
History coverage26d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day50.0
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 431 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$72
14 days+$112
30 days+$160
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% +$129
other 12% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 +1.0% -8.6% 54% 36% -3.9%
≤30d 431 +3.1% -6.7% 45% 25% -5.2%
≤90d 431 +3.1% -6.7% 45% 25% -5.2%
all 431 +3.1% -6.7% 45% 25% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.7% 25% -5.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 20% -14.2%
15% -23.8% 17% -22.5%
20% -31.3% 14% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1710 history records