trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Natus Vincere | 69¢ | 68¢ | $146 | $145 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Thunder | 58¢ | 0¢ | $749 | $0 | −$749 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | G2 | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 09 | $740 | +$266 | +36% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | Jun 08 | $343 | −$343 | -100% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Jun 02 | $1,946 | +$24 | +1% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 31 | $554 | +$743 | +134% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 30 | $758 | −$749 | -99% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 24 | $1,976 | +$18 | +1% |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 14 | $770 | +$230 | +30% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 13 | $880 | −$10 | -1% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea | May 12 | $750 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff | May 12 | $790 | −$5 | -1% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 11 | $912 | +$12 | +1% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | May 11 | $448 | $0 | -0% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 06 | $1,080 | +$116 | +11% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $1,316 | +$191 | +14% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | May 03 | $2,078 | +$22 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | May 03 | $1,190 | +$10 | +1% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 29 | $1,640 | −$1,640 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 28 | $1,435 | $0 | -0% |
| LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | Apr 26 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 26 | $1,460 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? | Apr 25 | $1,260 | −$20 | -2% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 24 | $800 | −$800 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 23 | $999 | +$84 | +8% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 22 | $999 | −$999 | -100% |
| LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifie | Apr 22 | $75 | −$75 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $988 | +$96 | +10% |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? | Apr 18 | $615 | +$149 | +24% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 16 | $402 | +$34 | +8% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 16 | $1,311 | +$190 | +14% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Apr 15 | $1,502 | +$144 | +10% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qual | Apr 14 | $1,122 | −$1,122 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | Apr 13 | $629 | +$57 | +9% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 13 | $1,035 | +$191 | +18% |
| Heat vs. Wizards | Apr 11 | $943 | +$58 | +6% |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Apr 09 | $952 | +$189 | +20% |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 07 | $650 | −$325 | -50% |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 07 | $182 | −$137 | -75% |
| Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 07 | $182 | −$180 | -99% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 03 | $339 | −$339 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -32.1% | -38.5% | 50% | 50% | -16.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 71% | 43% | -7.1% |
| ≤90d | 39 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 51% | 23% | -19.6% |
| all | 39 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 51% | 23% | -19.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.7% | 23% | -19.6% |
| 10% | -36.4% | 10% | -27.3% |
| 15% | -42.5% | 5% | -34.4% |
| 20% | -48.2% | 3% | -40.8% |