trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +190.3% | +162.7% | 50% | 50% | +198.2% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +190.3% | +162.7% | 50% | 50% | +198.2% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +190.3% | +162.7% | 50% | 50% | +198.2% |
| all | 27 | +24.3% | +12.4% | 19% | 19% | -13.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.4% | 19% | -13.3% |
| 10% | +1.7% | 19% | -21.6% |
| 15% | -8.1% | 19% | -29.1% |
| 20% | -17.1% | 19% | -36.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $5,000 | $4,977 | −$23 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $1,019 | −$67 | -7% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main | Jun 17 | $1,023 | −$1,023 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$95 | +93% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $243 | −$237 | -98% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $205 | −$71 | -35% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1,537 | +$6,788 | +442% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $1,420 | +$3,295 | +232% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $515 | +$5,133 | +997% |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31? | Dec 30 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025? | Dec 30 | $600 | −$600 | -100% |
| Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31? | Dec 28 | $295 | −$257 | -87% |
| Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025? | Dec 28 | $900 | −$805 | -89% |
| Epstein client list released in 2025? | Dec 27 | $3,061 | −$2,421 | -79% |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? | Dec 23 | $1,100 | −$1,036 | -94% |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? | Dec 23 | $23 | −$4 | -18% |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? | Dec 20 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Dec 20 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Dec 20 | $9,000 | −$5,088 | -56% |
| Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor | Dec 20 | $3,455 | −$2,836 | -82% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Dec 20 | $200 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision? | Dec 20 | $1,000 | +$1,914 | +191% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Dec 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Dec 18 | $1,647 | −$1,109 | -67% |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31? | Dec 14 | $3,500 | −$1,306 | -37% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | Dec 10 | $500 | −$22 | -4% |
| Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027? | Dec 09 | $1,500 | −$232 | -15% |
| Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31? | Dec 09 | $52 | −$3 | -6% |