Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f13…71f0
crypto · 374 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$38 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses225 / 146
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)371 / 374
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day102.1
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 371 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$38
14 days+$38
30 days+$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 21¢ 20¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$5 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$43
sports 1% −$5
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 27m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 371 +4.3% -5.6% 61% 59% -6.3%
≤30d 371 +4.3% -5.6% 61% 59% -6.3%
≤90d 371 +4.3% -5.6% 61% 59% -6.3%
all 371 +4.3% -5.6% 61% 59% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover102.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.6% 59% -6.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 58% -15.2%
15% -22.9% 52% -23.4%
20% -30.4% 42% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.60 · official $8.60 (match) · 636 history records