Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:51:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f0c…5ad0
sports · 5 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
−$17 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 78¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $18 +$14 +79%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $15 −$12 -76%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $16 +$13 +84%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $11 +$5 +47%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $19 −$19 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 99¢ $32 46m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 56¢ $4 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 10¢ $4 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 54¢ $14 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 40¢ $15 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $29 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 53¢ $16 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $16 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 66¢ $11 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $19 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +6.9% -3.3% 60% 60% -7.4%
≤30d 5 +6.9% -3.3% 60% 60% -7.4%
≤90d 5 +6.9% -3.3% 60% 60% -7.4%
all 5 +6.9% -3.3% 60% 60% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.3% 60% -7.4%
10% -12.6% 60% -16.3%
15% -21.0% 60% -24.4%
20% -28.8% 40% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 10 history records