trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 100% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 29% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 14 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 29% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Jun 21 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 05 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 28 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 22 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 19 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | May 09 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 17 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 15 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? | Apr 12 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 08 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 05 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $81 | $0 | +0% |