trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 60% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -1.8% | -11.1% | 27% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -1.8% | -11.1% | 27% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 30 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 37% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.7% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -19.3% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -27.1% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $35 | $35 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 25 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 25 | $106 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 24 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $37 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 04 | $69 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 02 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | -38% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 31 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 29 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 27 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will XRP reach $3.50 in May? | May 21 | $1 | $0 | -21% |
| Will Solana reach $300 in May? | May 19 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $22 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Apr 11 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more? | Apr 10 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in March? | Apr 08 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days? | Apr 07 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic in his first 100 days? | Apr 06 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian | Apr 05 | $22 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Greens be part of the next German government? | Apr 04 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 03 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of EPL? | Apr 03 | $22 | $0 | +0% |