Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:49:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f02…c123
crypto · 875 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,089 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,089 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,089
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses849 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)875 / 875
History coverage6d
Avg bet$281
Trades / day472.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 875 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$124
7 days−$2,089
14 days−$2,089
30 days−$2,089
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $294 $0 −$294 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $280 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $257 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $294 +$6 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,063
other 0% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $294 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $294 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $294 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $294 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $294 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $48 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $62 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $294 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $119 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $97 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $294 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $294 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $294 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $294 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $294 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $37 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $144 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $11 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 875 -1.0% -10.5% 97% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 875 -1.0% -10.5% 97% 0% -10.3%
≤90d 875 -1.0% -10.5% 97% 0% -10.3%
all 875 -1.0% -10.5% 97% 0% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover472.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 0% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 0% -18.9%
15% -26.8% 0% -26.7%
20% -34.0% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records