Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:10:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5ef0…9023
crypto · 3 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$10 -54%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-78.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -75.7% -78.0% 0% 0% -58.8%
≤30d 3 -75.7% -78.0% 0% 0% -58.8%
≤90d 3 -75.7% -78.0% 0% 0% -58.8%
all 3 -75.7% -78.0% 0% 0% -58.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -78.0% 0% -58.8%
10% -80.1% 0% -62.7%
15% -82.1% 0% -66.3%
20% -83.8% 0% -69.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 7 history records