trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Jun 12 | $12 | −$4 | -33% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | SELL Down | 1¢ | $0 | 1h |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY Down | 14¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY Up | 96¢ | $8 | 1h |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY Down | 73¢ | $4 | 1h |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY Down | 20¢ | $5 | 1h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -75.7% | -78.0% | 0% | 0% | -58.8% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -75.7% | -78.0% | 0% | 0% | -58.8% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -75.7% | -78.0% | 0% | 0% | -58.8% |
| all | 3 | -75.7% | -78.0% | 0% | 0% | -58.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -78.0% | 0% | -58.8% |
| 10% | -80.1% | 0% | -62.7% |
| 15% | -82.1% | 0% | -66.3% |
| 20% | -83.8% | 0% | -69.6% |