Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5eef…32bf
other · 9 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses2 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)6 / 9
History coverage2d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit22%
Chart Positions 3 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -66%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +134%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $12 −$11 -92%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $13 +$14 +105%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 80% −$13
sports 20% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 12m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 33m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 34m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 59m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 62¢ $5 59m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 63¢ $6 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 21h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 21h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $12 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $27 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $13 44h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $13 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -3.9% -13.1% 33% 33% -26.3%
≤30d 6 -3.9% -13.1% 33% 33% -26.3%
≤90d 6 -3.9% -13.1% 33% 33% -26.3%
all 6 -3.9% -13.1% 33% 33% -26.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 33% -26.3%
10% -21.4% 33% -33.4%
15% -29.0% 33% -39.8%
20% -35.9% 33% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.15 · official $16.15 (match) · 16 history records