Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5edc…bbad
other · 720 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$20,400 +37%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$900 · open −$9,939
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,076
Realized+$900
Unrealized−$9,939
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses220 / 102
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$31
Open positions463
Markets (closed)322 / 720
History coverage12d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day170.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 463 History 322 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$446
7 days+$2,399
14 days+$900
30 days+$900
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No 97¢ 100¢ $204 $210 +$6 (+3%)
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $173 $173 +$0 (+0%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 97¢ 97¢ $168 $169 +$1 (+0%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 86¢ 90¢ $149 $157 +$8 (+5%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? No 100¢ 100¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No 99¢ 100¢ $149 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No 100¢ 100¢ $149 $149 +$0 (+0%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No 100¢ 100¢ $125 $125 +$0 (+0%)
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 100¢ $109 $110 +$1 (+1%)
Will Arthur Fils be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 100¢ $109 $110 +$1 (+1%)
Will Hubert Hurkacz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 100¢ 100¢ $109 $110 +$0 (+0%)
Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 +$0 (+0%)
Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 +$0 (+0%)
Will Andrey Rublev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 +$0 (+0%)
Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 −$0 (-0%)
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 +$0 (+0%)
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 −$0 (-0%)
Will Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 −$1 (-1%)
Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 97¢ 99¢ $107 $109 +$2 (+2%)
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 98¢ $109 $108 −$0 (-0%)
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 97¢ 98¢ $107 $107 +$0 (+0%)
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 86¢ 98¢ $95 $107 +$13 (+13%)
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 98¢ 98¢ $108 $107 −$0 (-0%)
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 97¢ $108 $107 −$1 (-1%)
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No 84¢ 100¢ $89 $105 +$16 (+19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 12 $26 +$2 +7%
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 12 $26 +$2 +10%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 12 $15 +$13 +82%
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri Jun 12 $26 +$2 +6%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Jun 12 $26 +$2 +7%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $60 +$2 +3%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $61 +$1 +1%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $61 +$1 +2%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $53 +$9 +17%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $62 $0 +1%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $61 +$1 +2%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $62 $0 +1%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $62 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $461 +$39 +8%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -64%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 Jun 12 $18 +$15 +84%
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43 Jun 12 $28 +$5 +18%
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 12 $557 +$52 +9%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $6 +$51 +900%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $56 +$1 +2%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $56 +$1 +1%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $435 +$66 +15%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $711 +$124 +18%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $691 +$144 +21%
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $736 +$100 +14%
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $730 +$105 +14%
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $338 −$8 -2%
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $269 +$61 +22%
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $102 +$228 +224%
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $337 −$7 -2%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 11 $468 −$228 -49%
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 11 $93 +$144 +156%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 11 $2 +$7 +455%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $140 +$13 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 11? Jun 10 $14 $0 +0%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–J Jun 10 $52 +$1 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Jun Jun 10 $5 +$10 +186%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on Ju Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will "David" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 10 $3 +$12 +426%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 10 $20 +$5 +22%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 10 $64 −$64 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on Jun Jun 10 $13 +$2 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Will "Lawmen: Bass Reeves" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 10 $28 +$2 +9%
Will "AFI Life Achievement Award: A Tribute to Eddie Murphy" be the #2 Jun 10 $28 +$2 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% −$7,758
politics 29% −$368
sports 6% −$533
tech 5% −$449
weather 3% +$269
world 3% −$6
economics 2% −$212
culture 1% +$19
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 76¢ $11 8m
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 76¢ $11 8m
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 77¢ $4 8m
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 50¢ $3 23m
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 17¢ $0 23m
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 17¢ $1 23m
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? BUY No 39¢ $10 32m
Will Nikolaj Ehlers win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? BUY No 96¢ $6 32m
Will Nikolaj Ehlers win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? BUY No 96¢ $18 32m
Will Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? BUY No 94¢ $24 32m
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? BUY No 73¢ $18 32m
Will Taylor Hall win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? BUY No 93¢ $23 32m
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be t BUY No 11¢ $2 58m
Will "Iceman - Drake" be the top Spotify album for 2026? BUY No 96¢ $14 58m
Will "Bully - Ye" be the top Spotify album for 2026? BUY No 90¢ $14 58m
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 69¢ $20 1h
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 91¢ $26 1h
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri BUY No 94¢ $26 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 93¢ $26 1h
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand BUY No 93¢ $26 1h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 55¢ $15 1h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $61 2h
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele BUY No 49¢ $30 2h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $61 2h
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $62 2h
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 85¢ $53 2h
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 74¢ $46 2h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $62 2h
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $60 2h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $61 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+32.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 +46.6% +32.6% 71% 36% -16.0%
≤30d 322 +46.0% +32.1% 68% 35% -19.5%
≤90d 322 +46.0% +32.1% 68% 35% -19.5%
all 322 +46.0% +32.1% 68% 35% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover170.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +32.1% 35% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here +19.5% 25% -27.2%
15% +7.9% 21% -34.2%
20% -2.7% 16% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,076.26 · official $9,110.37 (match) · 3500 history records