Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:13:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5ed7…60cb
other · 318 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$11,332 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10,951 · open +$339
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$15,601
Realized+$10,951
Unrealized+$339
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses277 / 34
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions7
Markets (closed)311 / 318
Avg bet$3,362
Trades / day38.6
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit42%
Chart Positions 7 History 311 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$763
7 days+$980
14 days+$3,672
30 days+$5,907
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 98¢ 99¢ $11,809 $11,922 +$113 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 90¢ 96¢ $3,142 $3,360 +$218 (+7%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $106 $107 +$1 (+1%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 82¢ 89¢ $83 $89 +$6 (+8%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 68¢ $67 $68 +$0 (+1%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $54 $55 +$1 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $141 +$59 +42%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $1,008 +$49 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $5,984 +$41 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $4,269 +$38 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,858 +$17 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,586 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $4,034 +$4 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $11,912 +$426 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $5,379 +$46 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5,845 +$5 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $42 +$3 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $3,925 +$71 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 5? Jun 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 10 $111 −$111 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $6,421 +$69 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $3,999 +$20 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $4,367 +$108 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $11,461 +$39 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 09 $10,492 +$103 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $9,145 +$87 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $6,643 +$350 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $10,880 +$109 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $9,970 +$26 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7? Jun 07 $2,498 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7? Jun 07 $2,843 +$67 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $1,219 +$21 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $9,929 +$61 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $2,951 +$46 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $1,193 +$7 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $3,132 +$65 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $8,846 −$438 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $4,857 +$39 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 05 $280 −$280 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 05 $296 −$288 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $8,825 +$166 +2%
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Jun 05 $56 +$11 +20%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $277 +$23 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $4,960 +$34 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $543 +$56 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $8,873 +$334 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4? Jun 04 $9,400 +$90 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $3,937 +$59 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $6,871 +$22 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3? Jun 03 $2,851 +$47 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $4,031 +$282 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $9,849 +$141 +1%
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 03 $777 +$15 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 03 $13,197 +$290 +2%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $1,414 +$84 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% +$9,114
crypto 30% +$2,217
tech 0% +$29
sports 0% +$23
world 0% −$7
weather 0% −$49
politics 0% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $460 43m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $219 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $18 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $26 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $120 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $221 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $74 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $58 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 89¢ $166 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $452 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 89¢ $20 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 89¢ $76 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $4 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 89¢ $572 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 89¢ $147 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $76 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $9 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $156 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $75 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $88 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $113 3h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1,975 3h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $988 4h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $3,195 4h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $56 4h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $49 5h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $59 5h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $99 5h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $1,183 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -9.0% -17.7% 86% 3% -9.0%
≤30d 123 -5.3% -14.3% 89% 3% -8.5%
≤90d 311 -2.6% -11.9% 89% 6% -8.6%
all 311 -2.6% -11.9% 89% 6% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 6% -8.6%
10% -20.3% 4% -17.3%
15% ← realistic here -28.0% 3% -25.3%
20% -35.1% 2% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15,601.04 · official $15,601.04 (match) · 3500 history records