trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -2.1% | -11.5% | 5% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 22 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 5% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,268 | $1,268 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $48 | $48 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $1,248 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 24 | $1,324 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | Jun 23 | $62 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $1,264 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 23 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | Jun 23 | $1,205 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | Apr 25 | $6 | −$1 | -13% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | Apr 21 | $17 | −$3 | -16% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 17 | $8 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee | Apr 16 | $227 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? | Apr 16 | $220 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 14 | $224 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 05 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 05 | $74 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Apr 05 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 01 | $109 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in April 2026? | Apr 01 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Mar 31 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Mar 26 | $203 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Mar 26 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | Mar 26 | $29 | $0 | -0% |