Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:57:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5eab…1d01
other · 69 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$97
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses7 / 61
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)68 / 69
History coverage76d
Avg bet$237
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 1 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $97 $97 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $40 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? Jun 13 $61 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $40 in May? Jun 13 $93 $0 +0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $308 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 27 $705 −$1 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 23 $35 $0 -0%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees May 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $43 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? May 20 $37 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 19 $50 $0 -0%
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 16 $229 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 14 $1,113 −$1 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 14 $434 −$1 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 05 $445 −$1 -0%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? May 04 $234 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 03 $432 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $240 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 02 $217 $0 -0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? May 01 $217 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? May 01 $19 $0 +0%
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? Apr 27 $241 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $221 $0 -0%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 19 $229 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 19 $431 $0 -0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? Apr 18 $229 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 18 $236 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? Apr 17 $230 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Apr 16 $222 $0 -0%
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 16 $240 $0 -0%
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $231 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $229 $0 -0%
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 15 $482 −$1 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $231 $0 -0%
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec Apr 14 $231 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $237 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 14 $244 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $429 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 13 $243 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 13 $245 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 12 $472 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 12 $236 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $237 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 11 $239 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 10 $240 $0 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 10 $232 $0 -0%
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom i Apr 10 $243 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 10 $422 $0 -0%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 09 $433 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju Apr 09 $235 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 09 $232 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 66% −$11
politics 20% −$4
culture 3% −$1
economics 3% −$1
tech 3% $0
sports 2% +$14
crypto 2% $0
world 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $40 1h
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $40 5h
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? BUY No 100¢ $97 12h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $44 16d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $44 17d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $32 17d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $32 17d
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? BUY No 100¢ $61 17d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $48 19d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $48 19d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $46 20d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $46 20d
Will Solana dip to $40 in May? BUY No 100¢ $93 22d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $35 22d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $35 22d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $43 23d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $43 23d
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 60¢ $10 24d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? SELL No 100¢ $37 24d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? BUY No 100¢ $37 24d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $50 25d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $50 25d
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $229 29d
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $229 30d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $231 30d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $231 30d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $229 30d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 100¢ $230 31d
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $231 40d
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $231 40d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.0% -9.5% 67% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 11 -9.2% -17.8% 18% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 68 +3.0% -6.9% 10% 6% -9.5%
all 68 +3.0% -6.9% 10% 6% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.9% 6% -9.5%
10% -15.8% 6% -18.2%
15% -23.9% 6% -26.1%
20% -31.4% 6% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $96.65 · official $96.65 (match) · 193 history records