Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:11:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5ea7…2f3e
other · 17 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$159
Realized−$10
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions16
Markets (closed)1 / 17
History coverage4d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 16 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $25 $27 +$2 (+6%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+12%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-11%)
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $11 $9 −$2 (-22%)
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $7 $8 +$2 (+26%)
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $11 $8 −$3 (-27%)
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-21%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 30¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-24%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 1h
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 1h
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 12h
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $8 12h
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 12h
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 12h
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $9 2d
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $3 2d
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 4d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $11 4d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 4d
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 4d
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 4d
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 4d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 4d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 4d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $21 4d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $16 4d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $16 4d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $27 4d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $27 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $159.37 · official $159.38 (match) · 26 history records