Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:30:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e99…99bc
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$44 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open −$38
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$168
Realized−$6
Unrealized−$38
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions4
Markets (closed)3 / 7
History coverage28d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 4 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes 28¢ 24¢ $101 $83 −$18 (-17%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 65¢ 52¢ $100 $80 −$20 (-20%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% −$20
world 47% −$20
crypto 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $0 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 27h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 65¢ $100 28h
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 4d
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 28¢ $101 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $168.33 · official $168.33 (match) · 11 history records