Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:51:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e91…8786
crypto · 149 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$297 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$297 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$297
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses98 / 51
Open positions0
Markets (closed)149 / 149
History coverage32d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 149 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$78
7 days−$451
14 days−$338
30 days−$310
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$24 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$41 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$39 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$19 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$48 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $132 −$20 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$15 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$20 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$25 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$30 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$38 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$16 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$12 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 06 $56 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 06 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 06 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 06 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 06 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$297
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $26 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -39.3% -45.1% 40% 30% -32.4%
≤30d 137 -7.3% -16.1% 66% 46% -18.8%
≤90d 149 -6.0% -14.9% 66% 46% -17.9%
all 149 -6.0% -14.9% 66% 46% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 46% -17.9%
10% -23.1% 31% -25.7%
15% -30.5% 21% -32.9%
20% -37.3% 13% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 363 history records