Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:06:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e8d…2877
crypto · 443 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$136 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$136 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$136
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses307 / 136
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)443 / 443
History coverage81d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 443 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$360
7 days+$360
14 days+$360
30 days+$360
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% +$198
weather 15% −$98
economics 7% −$41
sports 6% +$89
world 2% +$28
other 2% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 357 +4.3% -5.6% 70% 65% -1.1%
≤30d 357 +4.3% -5.6% 70% 65% -1.1%
≤90d 443 +1.1% -8.5% 69% 63% -7.2%
all 443 +1.1% -8.5% 69% 63% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 63% -7.2%
10% -17.3% 44% -16.1%
15% -25.3% 31% -24.2%
20% -32.6% 19% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1067 history records