Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T18:36:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
5E 0x5e7f…333f crypto 1918 markets active 0h ago coverage 27d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (75 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$116 (-1%) realized −$116 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate63%1155W / 673L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day74.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days−$22
14 days−$6
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (75 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 642 -3.7% -12.9% 80% 67% -10.1%
≤30d 1828 +0.1% -9.4% 63% 58% -9.4%
≤90d 1828 +0.1% -9.4% 63% 58% -9.4%
all 1828 +0.1% -9.4% 63% 58% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover74.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 58% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 39% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 35% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 32% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$116
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses1155 / 673
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1828 / 1918
History coverage27d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day74.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1828 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 24 $23 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 24 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 24 $17 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 24 $14 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 24 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 24 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 24 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 24 $11 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 24 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 24 $8 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 24 $12 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 24 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 24 $37 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 24 $32 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 24 $33 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 24 $28 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 24 $24 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 24 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 24 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 24 $17 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 24 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 24 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 24 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 24 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 24 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 24 $16 −$16 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 24 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 24 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 24 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$26 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 24 $24 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 24 $18 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 24 $16 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 24 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 24 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 24 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 24 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 24 $9 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $23 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $19 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $17 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $14 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $12 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $8 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $11 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3175 history records