trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 57¢ | $12 | $12 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 81¢ | 81¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | Down | 54¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 69¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Up | 59¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +25% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +76% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $20 | −$16 | -84% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | Jun 13 | $15 | +$10 | +64% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | +$2 | +190% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Jun 13 | $8 | +$6 | +67% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Jun 13 | $10 | +$7 | +64% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | +$4 | +76% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +105% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $11 | −$2 | -16% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 48% | 48% | -32.7% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 48% | 48% | -32.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 48% | 48% | -32.7% |
| all | 21 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 48% | 48% | -32.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -15.5% | 48% | -32.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -23.5% | 43% | -39.2% |
| 15% | -30.9% | 38% | -45.1% |
| 20% | -37.7% | 38% | -50.4% |