Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:22:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e74…6bdf
sports · 35 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$195 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$199 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized+$199
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses22 / 12
Est. fees paid−$47
Open positions1
Markets (closed)34 / 35
History coverage16d
Avg bet$139
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 1 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$468
7 days−$362
14 days+$409
30 days+$199
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 46¢ 42¢ $53 $49 −$4 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 53¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Heroic 43¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 50¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 62¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 41¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 83¢ 0¢ $422 $0 −$422 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $25 +$25 +97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $424 −$422 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $233 −$230 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $101 +$32 +32%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $47 −$47 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $90 +$58 +64%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $35 +$15 +44%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $212 +$110 +52%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $146 +$45 +30%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $518 +$66 +13%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $123 −$121 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 10 $59 −$59 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $46 +$79 +173%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 10 $180 +$65 +36%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $96 +$20 +21%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $83 +$40 +49%
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) Jun 09 $63 +$39 +61%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $103 +$37 +36%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $115 −$115 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $123 −$122 -99%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $124 +$80 +64%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $2 +$1 +75%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $100 +$77 +78%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $68 +$32 +46%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $52 +$12 +23%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $101 −$98 -96%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $109 +$43 +40%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $1,108 +$795 +72%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 29 $199 −$196 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $18 −$3 -17%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $15 +$3 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$463
other 6% −$171
crypto 2% −$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 43¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 57¢ $28 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 83¢ $424 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 39¢ $75 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 44¢ $63 13h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 96¢ $133 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $95 14h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 72¢ $101 14h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $9 15h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 41¢ $38 16h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl BUY ONIC 88¢ $4 17h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $147 17h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $90 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $25 32h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $35 34h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $322 34h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 70¢ $15 36h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 64¢ $197 36h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $190 37h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 76¢ $46 38h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 100¢ $20 38h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 99¢ $198 38h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 99¢ $5 38h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 96¢ $57 38h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 96¢ $88 38h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 96¢ $71 38h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 98¢ $355 38h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 98¢ $5 38h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 76¢ $100 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +6.0% -4.1% 70% 70% -21.7%
≤30d 34 +0.7% -8.9% 65% 65% -5.8%
≤90d 34 +0.7% -8.9% 65% 65% -5.8%
all 34 +0.7% -8.9% 65% 65% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 65% -5.8%
10% -17.6% 56% -14.8%
15% -25.6% 44% -23.0%
20% -32.9% 26% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.88 · official $48.88 (match) · 88 history records