Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:56:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e63…7788
other · 4 markets active 2h ago
7.0score
+$11 +51%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Yes 37¢ 100¢ $5 $13 +$8 (+170%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-8%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 60¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $9 +$4 +42%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$8 +166%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 86% +$11
sports 14% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $3 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $13 42h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $9 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+86.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +106.1% +86.5% 100% 100% +68.2%
≤30d 2 +106.1% +86.5% 100% 100% +68.2%
≤90d 2 +106.1% +86.5% 100% 100% +68.2%
all 2 +106.1% +86.5% 100% 100% +68.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +86.5% 100% +68.2%
10% +68.6% 100% +52.1%
15% +52.3% 100% +37.4%
20% +37.4% 50% +23.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.92 · official $19.92 (match) · 5 history records