Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:48:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
5E 0x5e5b…7aa9 crypto 71 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$18 (+2%) realized +$18 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%71W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day43.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.7%
≤30d 71 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.7%
≤90d 71 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.7%
all 71 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover43.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 0% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 0% -16.5%
15% -24.7% 0% -24.6%
20% -32.1% 0% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses71 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage2d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day43.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 71 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 33m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $24 48m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $24 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $23 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 149 history records