trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 89% | 33% | -17.5% |
| all | 35 | -1.7% | -11.1% | 89% | 23% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.1% | 23% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -19.6% | 17% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -27.4% | 11% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -34.5% | 6% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $65 | $65 | −$0 (-0%) |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $64 | $64 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | Jun 02 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chainlink reach $16 in May? | Jun 02 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In | May 24 | $459 | −$455 | -99% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Kor | May 19 | $388 | +$72 | +18% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | May 14 | $259 | +$129 | +50% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 14 | $203 | +$56 | +27% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 20 | $186 | +$18 | +10% |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | Apr 07 | $182 | +$4 | +2% |
| Magic vs. Raptors | Mar 30 | $179 | +$3 | +2% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 19 | $179 | $0 | +0% |
| Mavericks vs. Hornets | Mar 04 | $404 | $0 | +0% |
| Wizards vs. Magic | Mar 04 | $1,040 | +$1 | +0% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Mar 03 | $1,434 | +$10 | +1% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Mar 03 | $427 | +$61 | +14% |
| Grizzlies vs. Mavericks | Feb 28 | $1,368 | +$4 | +0% |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | Feb 26 | $871 | +$1 | +0% |
| LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Feb 22 | $3 | +$3 | +72% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner | Feb 22 | $530 | +$1 | +0% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves | Feb 12 | $1,360 | +$4 | +0% |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner | Feb 07 | $118 | +$74 | +62% |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner | Feb 07 | $346 | +$124 | +36% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on February 5? | Feb 07 | $972 | +$1 | +0% |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Jan 23 | $100 | +$30 | +30% |
| LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | Jan 23 | $30 | +$3 | +9% |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseveranc | Jan 23 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Jan 23 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Jan 16 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 7? | Jan 08 | $500 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 02 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | Jan 02 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $52 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 02 | $66 | +$1 | +2% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Jan 02 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $191 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $982 | $0 | +0% |