Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:40:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e58…2de5
crypto · 1152 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$46 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$46 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$46
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses893 / 258
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1151 / 1152
History coverage44d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day54.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1151 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$6
14 days−$88
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 46¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $2 $0 +10%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $4 +$2 +53%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 7? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 7? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 7? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 7? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$32
sports 12% −$19
weather 0% +$4
other 0% +$1
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 -5.5% -14.5% 65% 30% -11.9%
≤30d 601 +0.6% -9.0% 76% 31% -11.5%
≤90d 1151 -0.3% -9.8% 78% 32% -10.3%
all 1151 -0.3% -9.8% 78% 32% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 32% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 15% -18.9%
15% -26.3% 9% -26.7%
20% -33.5% 8% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.15 · official $2.15 (match) · 3500 history records