Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:25:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5E 0x5e56…a7f6 crypto 97 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (3007 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL −$2,648 (-35%) realized −$2,648 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +220% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +146% what you keep after slip
Net edge+146%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate45%107W / 133L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$79per market
Trades / day3007.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3007 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+189.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 240 +220.0% +189.5% 45% 38% -7.3%
≤30d 240 +220.0% +189.5% 45% 38% -7.3%
≤90d 240 +220.0% +189.5% 45% 38% -7.3%
all 240 +220.0% +189.5% 45% 38% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3007.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +189.5% 38% -7.3%
10% ← realistic here +161.8% 30% -16.2%
15% +136.5% 27% -24.3%
20% +113.3% 26% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +220% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +90% → late +350% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
31.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$10 · ×1.31 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,648
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses107 / 133
Open positions0
Markets (closed)240 / 97
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$79
Trades / day3007.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 240 Trades
no open positions (164 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$13 -394%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$5 +177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$21 -131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$30 -2693%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$5 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$9 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$22 +2223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 +$16 +4031%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$14 +4808%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$21 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$9 -115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$17 +530%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$25 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$9 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$7 -162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $13 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$49 -306%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$12 +4098%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$14 +463%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $18 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records