trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +9.7% | -0.8% | 75% | 50% | +2.5% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 73% | 64% | -14.1% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -22.2% | -29.6% | 53% | 42% | -19.7% |
| all | 19 | -22.2% | -29.6% | 53% | 42% | -19.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.6% | 42% | -19.7% |
| 10% | -36.3% | 32% | -27.4% |
| 15% | -42.5% | 16% | -34.4% |
| 20% | -48.1% | 16% | -40.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | Over | 51¢ | 32¢ | $57 | $35 | −$22 (-38%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $13 | $14 | +$1 (+10%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+9%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Jun 21 | $14 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 21 | $29 | +$3 | +12% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison? | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | -15% |
| Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? | Jun 21 | $7 | +$2 | +33% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi | Jun 01 | $60 | −$40 | -67% |
| Perugia: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | Jun 01 | $30 | +$6 | +20% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | Jun 01 | $30 | +$10 | +35% |
| Heilbronn: Max Houkes vs Emilio Nava | Jun 01 | $17 | +$4 | +23% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 01 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $5 | +$3 | +61% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $10 | +$9 | +89% |
| Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next? | May 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs | May 17 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $6 | +$3 | +57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | May 13 | $4 | −$2 | -46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | May 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | May 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | May 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |