trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 25% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 25% | 0% | -10.7% |
| all | 27 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 37% | 0% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $32 | $32 | −$0 (-1%) |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 47¢ | 50¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $67 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $63 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $41 | −$6 | -16% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 01 | $73 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 30 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $69 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Sep 08 | $9 | $0 | +3% |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025? | Aug 10 | $75 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Aug 10 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on August 7? | Aug 10 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Aug 10 | $6 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 10 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Aug 09 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Aug 08 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | Aug 08 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Aug 08 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Aug 08 | $9 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Aug 07 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Aug 07 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Aug 07 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 07 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Aug 06 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Aug 06 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Aug 06 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on August 6? | Aug 06 | $86 | −$1 | -1% |