Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:04:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e4d…5891
crypto · 346 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$213 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$213
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses167 / 182
Open positions0
Markets (closed)349 / 346
History coverage7d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day479.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 349 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$91
7 days−$213
14 days−$213
30 days−$213
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+117%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 21¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+374%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+233%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+44%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +43%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +233%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$19 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$12 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$12 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$5 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$213
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 349 +15.6% +4.6% 48% 41% -15.1%
≤30d 349 +15.6% +4.6% 48% 41% -15.1%
≤90d 349 +15.6% +4.6% 48% 41% -15.1%
all 349 +15.6% +4.6% 48% 41% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover479.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.6% 41% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -5.4% 34% -23.2%
15% -14.5% 23% -30.7%
20% -22.9% 17% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.53 · official $3.20 · 3500 history records