trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +86.1% | +68.3% | 100% | 100% | +68.3% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +86.1% | +68.3% | 100% | 100% | +68.3% |
| all | 18 | -33.6% | -39.9% | 39% | 39% | +52.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.9% | 39% | +52.5% |
| 10% | -45.7% | 39% | +37.9% |
| 15% | -50.9% | 22% | +24.6% |
| 20% | -55.7% | 22% | +12.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $175 | $160 | −$15 (-9%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $100 | $115 | +$15 (+15%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 11¢ | $80 | $103 | +$23 (+29%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $90 | $83 | −$7 (-8%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 12¢ | $60 | $66 | +$6 (+10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $9,983 | +$8,591 | +86% |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw? | Mar 11 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | Mar 11 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Mar 11 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | Feb 28 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score | Feb 28 | $211 | −$211 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Feb 28 | $499 | +$661 | +132% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Jan 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jan 22 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Jan 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30? | Jan 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Venezuela vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jan 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21? | Jan 22 | $248 | +$83 | +33% |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score | Jan 22 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 15 | $189 | +$110 | +58% |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Nov 04 | $150 | +$51 | +34% |
| Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Barcelona end in a draw? | Sep 01 | $100 | +$118 | +118% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24? | Aug 25 | $150 | +$50 | +33% |