Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:40:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e32…8496
crypto · 863 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,379 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,417 · open +$39
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$439
Realized−$9,417
Unrealized+$39
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses654 / 303
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)957 / 863
History coverage15d
Avg bet$130
Trades / day200.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 957 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,751
7 days−$9,277
14 days−$9,815
30 days−$9,417
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Up 78¢ 92¢ $200 $235 +$35 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 77¢ 78¢ $200 $204 +$4 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
HYPE Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
HYPE Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $170 −$170 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$75 -188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET Jun 12 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $140 −$140 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$141 -141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $300 −$300 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET Jun 12 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET Jun 12 $136 −$136 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3PM ET Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET Jun 12 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET Jun 12 $432 −$432 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$901
other 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $102 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $102 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $203 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $288 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $41 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $41 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $102 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $102 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $303 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $135 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $304 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $203 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $529 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $200 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $515 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $301 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 477 -21.2% -28.7% 61% 39% -22.0%
≤30d 957 -10.0% -18.6% 68% 40% -16.4%
≤90d 957 -10.0% -18.6% 68% 40% -16.4%
all 957 -10.0% -18.6% 68% 40% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover200.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 40% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 19% -24.4%
15% -33.5% 8% -31.7%
20% -40.0% 3% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $438.51 · official $407.34 · 3500 history records