Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:22:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e2f…f9ba
sports · 554 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,506 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,129 · open −$376
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$222
Realized−$3,129
Unrealized−$376
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses256 / 650
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$522
Open positions29
Markets (closed)906 / 554
History coverage3d
Avg bet$66
Trades / day1124.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 29 History 906 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,613
7 days−$3,129
14 days−$3,129
30 days−$3,129
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 63¢ 62¢ $158 $154 −$4 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 81¢ 80¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 58¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 75¢ 76¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 72¢ 74¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 64¢ 47¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-27%)
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions KT Wiz 46¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 21¢ 29¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+38%)
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-75%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 63¢ 20¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-67%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes 37¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-73%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-47%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-39%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes 27¢ 7¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes 16¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-72%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes 21¢ 6¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-69%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes 14¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-85%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 72¢ 0¢ $272 $0 −$272 (-100%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 4.5 Over 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 57¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-12? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? Jun 12 $4 −$7 -170%
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Day Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-6.5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 12 $156 −$156 -100%
Valorant: MIBR vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Quali Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Gam Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Vallejo (-1.5) vs Kouame (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO5) - Prime League Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 13.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$1,438
other 1% −$39
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $12 3m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $3 3m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 62¢ $75 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $24 9m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 64¢ $21 11m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 65¢ $7 12m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 65¢ $41 12m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $2 51m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 30¢ $98 57m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 99¢ $5 1h
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 63¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $29 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $108 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 97¢ $5 1h
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 61¢ $3 1h
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions SELL Samsung Lions 54¢ $3 1h
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Ne SELL Yes 24¢ $1 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees SELL New York Yankees 61¢ $3 1h
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title? SELL Yes 65¢ $3 1h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 SELL Under 80¢ $4 1h
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? SELL No 70¢ $3 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees SELL Tampa Bay Rays 38¢ $4 1h
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? SELL No 80¢ $4 1h
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? SELL No 45¢ $5 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Paper Rex 100¢ $5 1h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 57¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-49.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 906 -44.7% -49.9% 28% 21% -17.2%
≤30d 906 -44.7% -49.9% 28% 21% -17.2%
≤90d 906 -44.7% -49.9% 28% 21% -17.2%
all 906 -44.7% -49.9% 28% 21% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1124.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -49.9% 21% -17.2%
10% ← realistic here -54.7% 17% -25.2%
15% -59.1% 13% -32.4%
20% -63.1% 10% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $222.13 · official $222.13 (match) · 3500 history records