Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T05:11:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5E 0x5e23…a3d7 crypto 341 markets active 1h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (479 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$18,718 (+43%) realized +$18,718 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate89%303W / 38L
Whale WR67%big bets
Drawdown44%max
Avg bet$126per market
Trades / day478.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,871
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (479 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 341 +12.0% +1.3% 89% 34% -1.4%
≤30d 341 +12.0% +1.3% 89% 34% -1.4%
≤90d 341 +12.0% +1.3% 89% 34% -1.4%
all 341 +12.0% +1.3% 89% 34% -1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover478.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.3% 34% -1.4%
10% ← realistic here -8.4% 18% -10.8%
15% -17.2% 10% -19.5%
20% -25.3% 6% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +9% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt +9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 67% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +14% → late +10% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
9.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$33 vs −$165 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.62 per $1 lost it wins $1.62
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$18,718
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses303 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)341 / 341
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$126
Trades / day478.8
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 341 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $4 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 27 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 27 $98 +$34 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 27 $131 +$35 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 27 $107 +$29 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 27 $38 +$9 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 27 $123 +$29 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 27 $186 +$39 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 27 $82 +$9 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 26 $54 +$6 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 26 $84 −$32 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 26 $88 +$55 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 26 $165 +$24 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 26 $14 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 26 $116 −$116 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 26 $23 +$4 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 26 $22 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 26 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 26 $18 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $31 +$4 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $73 +$25 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 26 $56 +$13 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 26 $80 +$9 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 26 $85 +$38 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 26 $141 +$35 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 26 $119 +$16 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 26 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 26 $59 +$9 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 25 $210 +$62 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 25 $110 +$14 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 25 $236 +$69 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 25 $124 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 25 $276 +$404 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 25 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $112 +$22 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $108 +$36 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 25 $88 +$49 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $58 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 25 $117 +$21 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $58 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $550 −$550 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $727 −$727 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 25 $80 +$11 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $37 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $13 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $33 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $38 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $38 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $37 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records