Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:26:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e22…3993
other · 33 markets active 182d ago
0.0score
+$14,185 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14,185 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$14,185
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses8 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 33
History coverage4d
Avg bet$4,546
Trades / day803.4
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025? Jan 15 $183 −$68 -37%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025 Jan 15 $1,834 −$1,834 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025 Jan 15 $561 −$561 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 Jan 15 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 Jan 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 Jan 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 Jan 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 Jan 15 $49 −$49 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 Jan 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 Jan 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 Jan 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 Jan 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 202 Jan 15 $6,319 +$2,443 +39%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 Jan 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 Jan 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? Jan 15 $1,655 +$4,048 +244%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 Jan 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 202 Jan 15 $5,139 +$6,799 +132%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 202 Jan 15 $3,031 +$1,577 +52%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 202 Jan 15 $130 −$130 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? Jan 15 $71 −$71 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? Jan 15 $20,007 −$20,007 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 Jan 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 202 Jan 15 $5,547 +$14 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 202 Jan 15 $393 −$393 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 202 Jan 15 $10,002 −$10,002 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 202 Jan 15 $10,714 −$10,692 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 202 Jan 15 $1,843 +$420 +23%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 202 Jan 15 $1,070 −$1,064 -99%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Dec 13 $50,000 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 202 Dec 12 $7,395 +$43,628 +590%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 202 Dec 12 $20,000 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025 Dec 09 $3,920 +$293 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% +$14,185
politics 33% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 SELL Yes 10¢ $3 181d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 SELL Yes 9¢ $3 181d
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 181d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 SELL Yes 10¢ $2 181d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 SELL Yes 10¢ $85 181d
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 SELL Yes 9¢ $20 181d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 SELL Yes 9¢ $7 181d
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 SELL Yes 9¢ $5 181d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 SELL Yes 9¢ $19 181d
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 SELL Yes 9¢ $9 181d
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 SELL Yes 9¢ $100 181d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 SELL Yes 9¢ $10 181d
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 181d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-41.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 33 -34.8% -41.0% 24% 18% -1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover803.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.0% 18% -1.0%
10% -46.7% 18% -10.4%
15% ← realistic here -51.8% 15% -19.1%
20% -56.5% 12% -27.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records