Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:36:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e21…02f8
crypto · 72 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$70
Realized−$50
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses27 / 37
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions8
Markets (closed)64 / 72
History coverage19d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 8 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 55¢ 48¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-13%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 96¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Curaçao 89¢ 72¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-19%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Over 26¢ 38¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+48%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Over 78¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+28%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 49¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5) St. Louis Cardinals 79¢ 80¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 Under 97¢ 95¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Under 84¢ 77¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 14 $10 +$7 +72%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $12 +$8 +68%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $16 −$13 -79%
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? Jun 14 $15 +$1 +6%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $10 +$7 +67%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $5 −$1 -29%
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao? Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Germany leading at halftime? Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Curaçao leading at halftime? Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $10 +$2 +21%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $10 +$5 +54%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $10 −$4 -38%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$1 -19%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $15 −$1 -7%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $81 −$5 -6%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Jun 14 $15 −$1 -7%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Jun 14 $56 −$40 -72%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $112 +$51 +46%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 +$10 +69%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $25 −$2 -7%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? Jun 12 $20 −$1 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Jun 12 $26 −$4 -16%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 18? Jun 12 $25 −$2 -7%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16? Jun 12 $10 −$4 -43%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Jun 12 $20 −$4 -19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $11 −$6 -59%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 19? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $40 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $55 +$4 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -82%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET May 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET May 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 27 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET May 27 $6 +$4 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 27 $1 +$3 +240%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 27 $2 +$1 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$23
crypto 40% −$71
other 3% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 BUY Under 84¢ $5 4m
Spread: Germany (-1.5) SELL Germany 99¢ $5 5m
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Germany 100¢ $5 5m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 54¢ $5 6m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 49¢ $5 6m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 55¢ $5 6m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 55¢ $5 6m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 54¢ $5 6m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Curaçao 81¢ $9 6m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Curaçao 81¢ $9 6m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 SELL Over 79¢ $8 6m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 SELL Under 17¢ $1 6m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 SELL Under 17¢ $1 6m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 SELL Under 17¢ $1 6m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 SELL Under 17¢ $1 6m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 BUY Over 21¢ $2 8m
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5) BUY St. Louis Cardinals 79¢ $5 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 50¢ $8 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 26¢ $5 10m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 48¢ $3 10m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 2¢ $1 22m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 2¢ $1 22m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 2¢ $1 22m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 2¢ $0 22m
Spread: Germany (-1.5) SELL Germany 99¢ $0 24m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 9¢ $5 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 29¢ $5 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 9¢ $5 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 9¢ $5 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 BUY Under 71¢ $5 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -7.6% -16.4% 37% 20% -9.9%
≤30d 64 -0.8% -10.3% 42% 27% -14.7%
≤90d 64 -0.8% -10.3% 42% 27% -14.7%
all 64 -0.8% -10.3% 42% 27% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 27% -14.7%
10% -18.9% 23% -22.9%
15% -26.7% 23% -30.3%
20% -33.9% 22% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $69.59 · official $69.59 (match) · 357 history records