Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:59:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e1d…8031
crypto · 66 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$93
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses34 / 30
Open positions2
Markets (closed)64 / 66
History coverage1d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day312.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $32 $45 +$13 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 52¢ 84¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 49¢ 62¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 0¢ 38¢ $0 $8 +$8 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 48¢ 16¢ $8 $3 −$5 (-68%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$14 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$22 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$8 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$2 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$3 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$20 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$7 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +112%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$4 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$15 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $14 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $8 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $11 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 +2.0% -7.7% 53% 33% -10.2%
≤30d 64 +2.0% -7.7% 53% 33% -10.2%
≤90d 64 +2.0% -7.7% 53% 33% -10.2%
all 64 +2.0% -7.7% 53% 33% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover312.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 33% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 28% -18.8%
15% -24.6% 19% -26.7%
20% -32.0% 14% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $93.09 · official $93.45 (match) · 413 history records