Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:51:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e1c…6709
other · 145 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$1,164 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,165 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,194
Realized+$1,165
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses30 / 114
Whale WR (big bets)3%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)144 / 145
History coverage151d
Avg bet$1,144
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 1 History 144 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$15
14 days+$129
30 days+$243
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $1,195 $1,194 −$1 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Jun 12 $382 +$4 +1%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $4,568 −$5 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $3,354 −$4 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 09 $1,259 −$2 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 08 $374 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $1,417 −$2 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $992 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $696 −$1 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $3,669 −$4 -0%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $55 +$92 +165%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $1,269 −$1 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 03 $2,387 −$4 -0%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 03 $68 +$72 +105%
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $1,207 −$2 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $4,627 −$6 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 01 $1,927 −$3 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $2,611 −$3 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 28 $3,718 −$5 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 27 $1,416 −$2 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 27 $2,493 −$4 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 26 $1,409 −$2 -0%
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 25 $1,318 −$2 -0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 25 $1,318 −$2 -0%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 25 $86 +$43 +50%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? May 22 $1,253 −$2 -0%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? May 22 $2,190 −$3 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 22 $1,178 −$1 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 22 $1,186 −$2 -0%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 22 $55 +$99 +180%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 21 $882 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 20 $902 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? May 19 $681 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? May 10 $1,312 −$2 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? May 10 $2,780 −$3 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 08 $1,122 −$2 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 07 $990 −$2 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? May 06 $1,199 −$2 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 05 $1,670 −$2 -0%
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? May 05 $1,020 −$2 -0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? May 03 $1,359 −$2 -0%
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 03 $2,105 −$3 -0%
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $2,137 −$2 -0%
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? Apr 30 $1,309 −$1 -0%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 30 $824 +$175 +21%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 22 $2,437 −$2 -0%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 21 $3,859 −$4 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 21 $851 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 20 $1,129 −$1 -0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 19 $1,913 −$2 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $2,017 −$2 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$282
politics 40% −$49
sports 8% +$1,512
world 3% −$18
economics 2% −$1
tech 1% +$2
crypto 1% +$1
culture 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1,195 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? BUY Yes 99¢ $382 20h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $1,118 2d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $1,119 3d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $991 3d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $992 3d
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,257 4d
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,259 4d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $374 4d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $374 4d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,416 4d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,417 4d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $991 5d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $992 5d
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $695 5d
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $696 5d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,075 6d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,076 6d
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves BUY Toronto Blue Jays 37¢ $55 8d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $1,267 9d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $1,269 9d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,242 9d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,244 10d
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,205 10d
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,207 10d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,093 10d
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 48¢ $68 11d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,094 11d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,271 11d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,273 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -0.0% -9.5% 11% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 32 +15.6% +4.6% 16% 12% -9.1%
≤90d 100 -5.4% -14.4% 9% 6% -9.2%
all 144 +3.0% -6.8% 21% 13% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.8% 13% -8.9%
10% -15.7% 12% -17.6%
15% -23.9% 10% -25.6%
20% -31.3% 6% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,194.19 · official $1,194.19 (match) · 462 history records