Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T21:26:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5E 0x5e08…97d6 crypto 916 markets active 0h ago coverage 60d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$12 (-0%) realized −$150 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate53%490W / 426L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day15.9pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$69
7 days+$84
14 days+$129
30 days−$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$91
other 2% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 316 -10.4% -18.9% 49% 49% -6.7%
≤30d 893 +0.1% -9.5% 54% 53% -10.6%
≤90d 916 -0.8% -10.2% 53% 52% -11.9%
all 916 -0.8% -10.2% 53% 52% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 52% -11.9%
10% -18.8% 48% -20.4%
15% -26.7% 45% -28.0%
20% -33.9% 41% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$6 · ×0.82 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

60d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$150
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses490 / 426
Open positions0
Markets (closed)916 / 916
History coverage60d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 916 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $61 +$41 +66%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$17 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $78 −$75 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $76 −$75 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $77 +$36 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $77 −$75 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$39 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$22 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $78 −$75 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$75 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $72 +$54 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$31 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$14 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$13 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$16 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$16 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$82 +580%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$27 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$11 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$57 +181%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$33 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$15 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $16 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $61 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $78 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $76 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $77 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $77 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $41 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $78 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $72 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $78 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $76 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $31 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $31 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $20 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $31 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $31 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1882 history records