Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T13:42:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5D 0x5dfa…7625 other 6 markets active 2h ago coverage 45d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$10 (-4%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -68% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -71% what you keep after slip
Net edge-71%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day0.5pace
Kalshi-fit17%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$16
14 days−$18
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% −$20
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-71.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -36.0% -42.1% 0% 0% -15.0%
≤30d 5 -61.6% -65.3% 0% 0% -16.2%
≤90d 6 -68.0% -71.1% 0% 0% -16.6%
all 6 -68.0% -71.1% 0% 0% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -71.1% 0% -16.6%
10% -73.8% 0% -24.5%
15% -76.4% 0% -31.8%
20% -78.7% 0% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -68% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$4 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage45d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit17%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 6 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $96 −$4 -4%
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $161 −$7 -4%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 18 $11 −$6 -49%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? May 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? SELL Yes 85¢ $10 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 86¢ $10 1h
Will England win on 2026-06-23? SELL Yes 82¢ $67 2h
Will England win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 83¢ $70 2h
Will England win on 2026-06-23? SELL Yes 82¢ $70 2h
Will England win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 83¢ $73 2h
Will England win on 2026-06-23? SELL Yes 82¢ $18 2h
Will England win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 83¢ $19 2h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? SELL Yes 85¢ $19 2h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 86¢ $20 2h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? SELL Yes 85¢ $20 2h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 86¢ $21 2h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? SELL Yes 85¢ $21 2h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 86¢ $21 2h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? SELL Yes 85¢ $21 2h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 86¢ $22 2h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? SELL Yes 85¢ $2 2h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 86¢ $2 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 5d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 46¢ $5 5d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 48¢ $6 9d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $2 13d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? BUY Down 36¢ $1 44d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 24 history records