Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5df7…3d27
sports · 184 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$864 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$997 · open +$56
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$446
Realized+$997
Unrealized+$56
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses69 / 106
Est. fees paid−$123
Open positions9
Markets (closed)175 / 184
History coverage49d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day10.3
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 9 History 175 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$855
7 days+$689
14 days+$689
30 days+$689
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 66¢ $120 $124 +$4 (+3%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 59¢ 70¢ $75 $90 +$15 (+19%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) T1 49¢ 100¢ $29 $60 +$30 (+103%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 43¢ 42¢ $52 $51 −$1 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 38¢ 58¢ $25 $38 +$13 (+53%)
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $36 $36 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 51¢ 46¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-9%)
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 15¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-5%)
Will Lamine Yamal record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ 16¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-21%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 3¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 12¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 1¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 12¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Philadelphia Phillies 9¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Ducks Ducks 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score Yes 56¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster Challengers 25¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $36 +$41 +116%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $59 +$15 +26%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $388 +$141 +36%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $25 +$49 +190%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $115 −$100 -86%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $152 +$99 +66%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $25 −$24 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $66 −$15 -23%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $8 +$10 +139%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 14 $151 +$4 +2%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 14 $51 −$14 -27%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $100 +$96 +96%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals Jun 13 $10 +$19 +187%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $34 +$26 +77%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $58 +$57 +98%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $4 +$76 +1843%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $10 −$3 -32%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $12 −$5 -42%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $51 −$8 -16%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $81 +$79 +97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $76 +$76 +100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 13 $18 +$12 +68%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $80 +$58 +72%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $48 −$2 -3%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $265 +$165 +62%
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO Jun 12 $89 −$89 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $33 +$12 +36%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 12 $36 +$11 +31%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? Jun 12 $32 +$62 +195%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $373 +$115 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$1,086
other 17% −$136
tech 5% +$50
world 1% +$28
crypto 1% −$37
politics 0% +$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $77 18m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 45¢ $36 1h
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 67¢ $35 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 38¢ $75 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 99¢ $529 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $74 1h
Will Lamine Yamal record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 26¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $15 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 1¢ $10 2h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 38¢ $25 3h
Will Australia finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Gro BUY Yes 51¢ $30 3h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 8¢ $16 4h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 57¢ $115 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $25 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $52 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $59 5h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 49¢ $30 5h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 72¢ $388 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 13¢ $10 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 12¢ $5 6h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $18 6h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 54¢ $154 6h
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) SELL Knicks 42¢ $37 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 22¢ $37 7h
Will Lamine Yamal record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA BUY Yes 18¢ $3 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 25¢ $26 8h
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Knicks 56¢ $51 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 35¢ $25 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 +11.5% +0.9% 42% 41% +11.7%
≤30d 64 +11.5% +0.9% 42% 41% +11.7%
≤90d 175 +1.1% -8.5% 39% 38% +2.4%
all 175 +1.1% -8.5% 39% 38% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 38% +2.4%
10% -17.3% 38% -7.4%
15% -25.2% 35% -16.3%
20% -32.6% 33% -24.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $446.21 · official $446.21 (match) · 533 history records