Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T06:38:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5D 0x5df7…7505 crypto 5 markets active 252d ago coverage 6d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$6 (-0%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -41% what you keep after slip
Net edge-41%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate20%1W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$527per market
Trades / day22.2pace
Kalshi-fit60%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 98% $0
crypto 2% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 5 -20.0% -27.6% 20% 20% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.6% 20% -9.7%
10% -34.5% 20% -18.4%
15% ← realistic here -40.9% 20% -26.3%
20% -46.7% 20% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI — too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -20% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
13.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$27 vs −$17 · ×1.61 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage6d
Avg bet$527
Trades / day22.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? Oct 20 $13 $0 +0%
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? Oct 20 $2,564 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Oct 20 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Oct 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Oct 14 $27 +$27 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $13 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 251d
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $23 251d
Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $13 251d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 257d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 257d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 257d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 257d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 257d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 257d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 257d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? BUY Yes 0¢ $40 257d
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? SELL Yes 0¢ $40 257d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 135 history records