Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:57:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5df0…4adf
sports · 319 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$157 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$157 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$157
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses179 / 140
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$136
Open positions0
Markets (closed)319 / 319
History coverage223d
Avg bet$471
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 319 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$11
14 days+$97
30 days+$113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 16? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2) New Zealand 25¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 28? No 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - November 29, 10PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 29? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs Vanuatu Vanuatu 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 7? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs India India 4¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand South Africa 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
T20 Series Australia vs. India, Women: Australia vs India India 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs India India 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand New Zealand 49¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs Canada (Game 1) Canada 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs China China 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh Scotland 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India India 56¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Canada vs UAE (Game 1) Canada 83¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1) Scotland 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2) Sri Lanka 9¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Oman vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) Oman 14¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal Indonesia 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1) Afghanistan 13¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7? No 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $39 +$3 +7%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $10 +$8 +82%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $478 +$24 +5%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $896 +$34 +4%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi Jun 12 $1,390 −$138 -10%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 12 $583 +$20 +4%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Oman Jun 10 $48 +$1 +2%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: United Arab Emirates vs Malaysia Jun 10 $4 −$2 -50%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Japan Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs Nepal Jun 10 $5 −$2 -30%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $10 +$17 +165%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia Jun 09 $1,004 +$12 +1%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Japan vs Thailand Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Oman vs Philippines Jun 07 $110 +$9 +9%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Myanmar vs Thailand Jun 07 $620 +$12 +2%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Mongolia Jun 06 $1,113 −$7 -1%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 06 $5 +$31 +592%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Kuwait vs Singapore Jun 06 $81 $0 +0%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Indonesia Jun 06 $93 +$14 +15%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Bahrain vs Singapore Jun 05 $1,000 +$18 +2%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies Jun 03 $13 −$3 -23%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands Jun 03 $51 +$5 +9%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bhutan vs Hong Kong, China Jun 03 $1,111 +$17 +2%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Myanmar Jun 03 $139 +$17 +12%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Singapore Jun 03 $132 +$5 +4%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwait Jun 03 $9 −$1 -10%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India Jun 02 $11 −$11 -100%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh Jun 02 $10 −$10 -100%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies Jun 01 $10 +$4 +45%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain Jun 01 $9 +$4 +46%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $39 $0 +1%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs Pakistan May 31 $15 −$8 -51%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands May 31 $7 +$12 +169%
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Thailand vs Malaysia May 31 $268 +$4 +2%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs China May 31 $10 −$10 -98%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 31 $939 +$26 +3%
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs Nepal May 30 $0 $0 +0%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh May 30 $5 +$5 +97%
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Malaysia vs Nepal May 30 $239 +$5 +2%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 29 $12 +$8 +72%
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal May 28 $2 −$2 -98%
T20 Series Germany vs Austria: Germany vs Austria May 01 $5 −$5 -98%
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs USA May 01 $16 $0 +2%
T20 Series Malaysia vs Indonesia: Malaysia vs Indonesia May 01 $10 −$2 -20%
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka Apr 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 29 $21 −$1 -5%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Oman Apr 29 $16 +$8 +48%
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs Vanuatu Apr 28 $10 −$10 -97%
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs Nepal Apr 28 $38 −$37 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$52
sports 15% −$209
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL South Africa 23¢ $29 27m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 18¢ $9 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 23¢ $10 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 31¢ $7 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 31¢ $3 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL South Africa 30¢ $13 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 23¢ $10 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland SELL Scotland 91¢ $18 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 50¢ $10 5h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY Thailand 98¢ $187 7h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY Thailand 98¢ $245 7h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates SELL Thailand 99¢ $40 7h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates SELL United Arab Emirates 22¢ $2 8h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates SELL United Arab Emirates 50¢ $2 8h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates SELL United Arab Emirates 50¢ $2 8h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates SELL United Arab Emirates 50¢ $2 8h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates SELL United Arab Emirates 50¢ $0 8h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY Thailand 52¢ $8 8h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY Thailand 52¢ $1 8h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY Thailand 52¢ $12 8h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates SELL Thailand 54¢ $3 9h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates SELL Thailand 54¢ $11 9h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY United Arab Emirates 55¢ $9 9h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY United Arab Emirates 55¢ $2 9h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY Thailand 54¢ $14 10h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Rwanda 99¢ $99 29h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Rwanda 99¢ $99 29h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Rwanda 99¢ $99 29h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Rwanda 99¢ $99 29h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Rwanda 99¢ $30 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +5.7% -4.4% 69% 12% -9.7%
≤30d 42 +16.2% +5.1% 69% 24% -8.6%
≤90d 122 -0.7% -10.1% 55% 27% -9.6%
all 319 +1.2% -8.4% 56% 22% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 22% -9.5%
10% -17.2% 18% -18.2%
15% -25.2% 15% -26.1%
20% -32.5% 11% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1873 history records