trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 20 | -7.6% | -16.4% | 50% | 45% | -6.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.4% | 45% | -6.8% |
| 10% | -24.4% | 35% | -15.7% |
| 15% | -31.7% | 30% | -23.9% |
| 20% | -38.4% | 30% | -31.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $57 | $57 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Mar 21 | $32 | +$8 | +24% |
| Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-03-19? | Mar 19 | $32 | +$18 | +59% |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5 | Mar 19 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Team Lynx vs L1ga Team (BO3) - CCT Playoffs | Mar 18 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | Mar 18 | $28 | +$6 | +20% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | Mar 18 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Bruins vs. Devils | Mar 17 | $23 | +$20 | +85% |
| Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5) | Mar 17 | $54 | +$96 | +178% |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-14? | Mar 15 | $30 | +$29 | +96% |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5 | Mar 15 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards | Mar 14 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to Score | Mar 14 | $8 | +$8 | +89% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Mar 12 | $5 | +$1 | +10% |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) | Dec 26 | $90 | +$60 | +67% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Dec 25 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November? | Dec 09 | $7 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November? | Nov 27 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | Nov 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Oct 30 | $1,119 | −$2 | -0% |