Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:54:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5dca…e1d9
crypto · 789 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$889 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$889 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$889
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses448 / 341
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)789 / 789
History coverage10d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day269.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 789 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59
7 days−$141
14 days−$889
30 days−$889
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 76¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 37¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 14¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 68¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 71¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 49¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 89¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 31¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 75¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 41¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 19¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 64¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 50¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 47¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 97¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 72¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 62¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 90¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $201 −$4 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $140 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$7 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $215 +$120 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $141 −$1 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$70 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$14 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$7 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$11 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$886
sports 4% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 445 -7.9% -16.7% 60% 11% -10.9%
≤30d 789 -5.1% -14.1% 57% 12% -14.2%
≤90d 789 -5.1% -14.1% 57% 12% -14.2%
all 789 -5.1% -14.1% 57% 12% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover269.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 12% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 6% -22.5%
15% -29.8% 4% -29.9%
20% -36.7% 3% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records